Alternative Monetary Policy Rules for India; by Michael Debabrata Patra and Muneesh Kapur; IMF Working Paper 12/118; May 1, 2012

نویسندگان

  • Michael Debabrata Patra
  • Muneesh Kapur
  • Arvind Virmani
چکیده

This paper empirically evaluates the operational performance of the McCallum rule, the Taylor rule and hybrid rules in India over the period 1996–2011 using quarterly data, with a view to analytically informing the conduct of monetary policy. The results show that forward-looking formulations of both rules and their hybrid version setting a nominal output growth objective for monetary policy with an interest rate instrument outperform contemporaneous and backward-looking specifications, especially when targeting core components of GDP and inflation, and combine the best parts of efficiency and discretion. JEL Classification Numbers:E31; E32; E52; E58; F41

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تاریخ انتشار 2012